Handicapping the 2008 Presidential Election



Handicapping the 2008 Presidential Election

What role does personality play in who wins US Presidential elections? Using our temperament model, we called the 2000 (even before the Supreme Court) and 2004 winners.  Going back to 1900, the winner has always been clearly predictable.  Over the next several weeks, I’ll give you the secret to picking a winner, and then go on to examine the current crop of Presidential hopefuls in order to make some recommendations as to who the Democratic and Republican parties should…

Posted by KipParent on Tuesday October 30, 2007 11:28 PM
Every Sunday and Thursday Political candidates spend huge amounts of money through a long and grueling primary process to appeal to the voters of their party and win the right to run for President in November.  They hire pollsters, they craft policy statements, and they spend time cramming for debates.  In this scenario, it would seem each party would pick its best candidate - that is, the candidate that has the best chance of winning the general election in November. …

Posted by KipParent on Tuesday October 30, 2007 11:17 PM


Presidential Elections - The Secret to Winning Revealed
Every Sunday and Thursday What's the primary quality a candidate must possess to win the November Presidential election?  You might consider it an unfair advantage some candidates possess - in fact, it might well be the true "litmus test" of electability.  Using our knowledge of this fact and Keirsey Temperament Theory, we were able to call the past 2 winners well ahead of the election (and the Supreme Court). Since the beginning of the televised elect…

Posted by KipParent on Thursday November 8, 2007 4:35 PM


Picking the Best Candidate: The Flaw in the Plan

Every Sunday and Thursday If nominated, Artisans always win in November.  Why, then, don't they always (or even often) win their own party's nomination? The simple answer is that different attributes win a party nomination than win a general election.  To win a party's nomination, the candidates must appeal most strongly to the party's base of voters, that is, the folks who vote in the party primary elections.  These are the folks that, once the nomi…

Posted by KipParent on Sunday November 11, 2007 11:07 PM

Rating the Candidates 1 – Personality as the Differentiator 
Rudy Giuliani

Every Thursday and Sunday Let's look at the 7 leading presidential candidates, 4 republicans and 3 democrats, with an eye toward who has the strongest chance on each side of winning the prize in November, 2008. Remember, our research of the past 100 years elections shows that the Artisan candidate – or in the case neither major party candidate is an artisan, the candidate able to behave closest to an Artisan while in the public eye – wins in November.  I'll take …

Posted by KipParent on Thursday November 15, 2007 8:05 AM

Rating the Candidates 2 – Personality as the Differentiator 
Fred Thompson

Every Sunday and Thursday Continuing my look at the leading Republican candidates, next up is the man running (in many polls) second to Rudy Giuliani.  (If you are wondering at the illustration to this article, please see my previous entry on Rudy Giuliani ). Fred Thompson In many ways, Fred Thompson is the most surprising of the major candidates I've looked at this election season in terms of personality.  The surprise comes from the vast …

Posted by KipParent on Sunday November 18, 2007 1:10 AM

Rating the Candidates 3 – Personality as the Differentiator
Mitt Romney

Every Sunday and Thursday The third of the four Republicans in this series, while running third in the national polls, is currently leading in the first two bellweather states – Iowa and New Hampshire. Mitt Romney The initial impression of Mitt Romney, the candidate, is Guardian.  From watching the somewhat maudlin early Mitt-TV episodes – “The Decision”,  “Ann Romney- Christmas 2006”, to his focus on “tr…

Posted by KipParent on Sunday November 25, 2007 4:33 AM

Rating the Candidates 4 – Personality as the Differentiator
John McCain


Every Thursday and Sunday After a week's hiatus from looking at the 2008 Presidential candidates, this series continues with the 4th Republican candidate, John McCain.  (This was to have been the last of the articles on Republican candidates, but Mike Huckabee's surge to the front of the GOP pack in the past week means we will take a closer look at the Pastor from Arkansas). John McCain John McCain is the Republican Party's secret weapon in this …

Posted by KipParent on Thursday December 13, 2007 11:53 PM
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Rating the Candidates 5 – Personality as the Differentiator
Hillary Clinton

We begin looking at the Democratic candidates for President, starting with the current front-runner.  I will also write about Mike Huckabee on the Republican side as he has become a serious candidate in the past few weeks. Hillary Clinton Of all the Democratic candidates for President, the one more people have formed strong opinions of is Hillary Clinton. Tough. Smart.   Pew Research finds that these are the word…


Posted by KipParent on Thursday December 20, 2007 5:28 PM

Rating the Candidates 6 – Personality as the Differentiator
Mike Huckabee

Every Thursday and Sunday Mike Huckabee’s time on the national stage has been fairly brief, so it’s been harder to get a good handle on his personality than most of the other candidates.  Presidential candidates have handlers, and spend a great deal of time preparing for their public appearances, so in gauging a candidate’s true temperament, I have been looking at how they behave away from the cameras and the reporters.  Some of the best evidence… 

Posted by KipParent on Thursday January 10, 2008 5:27 PM

Barack Obama is one of the more complex individuals I have studied in this campaign season.  Like Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney, Obama is a Rational, most likely an INTJ Mastermind.  This comes through in his communication style – he has an exceptional ability to paint a vision, to communicate abstract pictures of the future that make sense to people, and his utilitarian approach to action -  looking for what “works” rather than “what&rsquo…
Posted by KipParent on Wednesday January 23, 2008 7:54 PM
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A missed opportunity for the Democratic party.   Today John Edwards quit the race for the Democratic nomination for president.   It is no surprise, in that Edwards ran a consistently weak third place behind Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, but from a personality perspective – and the premise of this series of articles, the Democrats lost their strongest November candidate. Well-groomed ($400 haircut) trial lawyer Edwards was the lone Artisan in the Democratic field. …
Posted by KipParent on Wednesday January 30, 2008 5:41 AM
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